Skip to content

Experimental Evidence Architecture

Typed Observable Registries, Uncertainty Decomposition, Data Lineage & Falsification Gates

Spine Position

Science Root · Experimental Evidence Governance, Observable Registries & Metrology

Public Status Boundary. This gateway defines the formal metrological and experimental standards of the Science of Fabric Reality. It establishes typed observable registries, mathematical uncertainty decomposition, cryptographic data lineage, and pre-registered falsification gates. It explains scientific methodology without asserting unacquired physical data.

Protocol definitionempirical validationSimulation modeldetector acquisitionActive prospective predictions (P4)=0(Zero synthetic claims)
Experimental Evidence Promotion SpineTen-stage metrological promotion pipeline enforcing explicit verification gates from candidate to independent laboratory replication.1. PROPOSAL• S1: OBSERVABLE_CANDIDATE• S2: PROTOCOL_DRAFT2. PRE-REGISTRATION• S3: PROTOCOL_FROZEN• S4: INSTRUMENT_READY• S5: CALIBRATION_COMPLETE3. ACQUISITION & QC• S6: DATA_ACQUIRED• S7: DATA_QC_PASSED• S8: ANALYSIS_FROZEN4. REPLICATION• S9: EMPIRICAL_RESULT• S10: INDEP_REPLICATION10-Stage Metrological Spine · Protocol Draft ≠ Empirical Validation · Discovery Requires Blind ReplicationEvidence Promotion Spine (Mobile)Mobile reflow schematic of 10-stage experimental evidence promotion.1. Proposal & DesignS1: Candidate · S2: Protocol Draft2. Pre-Registration & ReadinessS3: Frozen · S4: Ready · S5: Calibrated3. Acquisition & QCS6: Acquired · S7: QC Pass · S8: Analysis4. Verdict & ReplicationS9: Empirical Result · S10: ReplicationEVIDENTIARY GOVERNANCE• 10 distinct promotion stages tracked• Protocol draft ≠ empirical result• Independent blind replication gate
Figure 6.1 — Experimental Evidence Promotion Spine: Multi-stage metrological promotion pipeline enforcing explicit verification gates from protocol draft to independent laboratory replication.

Maps the ten-stage operational lifecycle of experimental observables from theoretical candidate and pre-registered protocol to data acquisition, frozen analysis, and independent replication.

Credit: Ivan Pasev / GILC Research·CC BY-NC-SA 4.0·SCHEMATIC

1. The 10-Stage Experimental Promotion Spine

Every physical quantity, spectral signature, or laboratory test in the corpus advances through a 10-stage lifecycle orthogonal to the theoretical P0–P6 evidence ladder:

StageStatus IdentifierOperational DefinitionMetrological Gate
1OBSERVABLE_CANDIDATEPhysical quantity defined with SI units and theoretical mapping.Observable contract drafted.
2PROTOCOL_DRAFTInitial design of excitation sources, detectors, and transfer functions.Apparatus parameters specified.
3PROTOCOL_FROZENPre-registered experiment protocol sealed with cryptographic timestamp.Immutable SHA-256 seal.
4INSTRUMENT_READYPhysical apparatus, vacuum chambers, and diagnostics aligned in laboratory.Pre-flight vacuum/optical check.
5CALIBRATION_COMPLETEDiagnostic channels calibrated against versioned reference standards.NIST-traceable calibration file.
6DATA_ACQUIREDRaw detector signals captured and sealed immediately with SHA-256 hash.Raw acquisition receipt.
7DATA_QC_PASSEDAutomated data quality screening (signal-to-noise, baseline stability).QC audit pass script.
8ANALYSIS_FROZENSignal deconvolution and uncertainty propagation executed deterministically.Frozen analysis pipeline hash.
9EMPIRICAL_RESULTProcessed observable compared against null and alternative hypotheses.Falsification evaluation.
10INDEPENDENT_REPLICATIONProtocol reproduced by independent laboratory team on external facility.Blinded replication report.

2. The 7-Fold Uncertainty Decomposition Framework

To eliminate ambiguous error bars, all experimental measurements and numerical comparisons decompose uncertainty into seven orthogonal components:

uc2(y)=i=1N(fxi)2u2(xi)+2i=1N1j=i+1Nfxifxju(xi,xj)
7-Fold Uncertainty Decomposition FrameworkMetrological uncertainty decomposition separating numerical, parametric, calibration, statistical, systematic, model, and reference error sources.TOTAL COMBINED UNCERTAINTY u_totalU_NUMDiscretizationU_PARAMInputsU_CALCalibrationU_STATShot NoiseU_SYSApparatusU_MODELTruncationU_REFNIST StdFull 7-Fold Decomposition · Solver Residual Measures Algebraic Consistency, Not Physical UncertaintyUncertainty Decomposition (Mobile)Mobile reflow schematic of all 7 uncertainty components.Total Uncertainty u_total1. U_NUMDiscretization & Grid2. U_PARAMInput Parameters3. U_CALDetector Calibration4. U_STATShot & Counting Noise5. U_SYSApparatus & Systematic6. U_MODELModel Truncation7. U_REFNIST Reference StdGUM UNCERTAINTY LAW• All 7 components accounted• Solver residual ≠ error bound• Covariance-weighted propagation
Figure 6.2 — 7-Fold Uncertainty Decomposition Framework: Complete metrological uncertainty budget separating numerical solver errors from instrumental calibrations and external reference errors.

Details the rigorous decomposition of experimental and computational uncertainty into numerical, parametric, calibration, statistical, systematic, model, and reference error components.

Credit: Ivan Pasev / GILC Research·CC BY-NC-SA 4.0·SCHEMATIC
ComponentError ClassPhysical / Computational OriginControl & Evaluation Method
UNUMNumerical DiscretizationSpatial/temporal grid spacing (Δx,Δt), domain truncation, floating-point roundoffRichardson extrapolation, grid convergence tests (Residual Error)
UPARAMInput ParametersLaser pulse energy jitter, beam waist uncertainty, target density variationsMonte Carlo parameter propagation, Jacobian sensitivity analysis
UCALCalibration ReferenceDiagnostic transfer function, detector spectral response curves, optical comb locksCalibration against primary NIST standards
USTATStatistical MeasurementPoissonian photon/ion counting noise, pulse-to-pulse shot noiseStandard error over protocol-defined independent acquisitions (s/N)
USYSSystematic InstrumentalFocal volume spatial integration, stray fields, parasitic thermal leaksApparatus variation, spatial deconvolution, differential subtraction
UMODELModel DiscrepancyTheoretical approximations (dipole approximation, infinite nuclear mass, frozen core)Cross-level comparison (non-relativistic Dirac QED)
UREFReference StandardPublished uncertainty in external reference databases (NIST ASD v5.12, CODATA 2018)Direct extraction from versioned metrological literature

Metrological Law: Solver Residual ≠ Numerical Uncertainty

An algebraic solver residual measures how closely a discrete algorithm satisfies an algebraic equation. Numerical uncertainty quantifies the difference between the discrete numerical solution and the continuous analytical truth. Conflating solver residuals with uncertainty is strictly prohibited.


3. Immutable Cryptographic Data Lineage

Every empirical dataset and analysis artifact follows a tamper-evident, hash-chained lineage:

Immutable Cryptographic Data Lineage PipelineCryptographically hash-chained data lineage pipeline showing all 6 stages from raw acquisition to derived public result.1. RAWSHA-2562. CALIBRATEDSI Units3. QC_PASSEDAudit Pass4. ANALYSISFrozen Pipeline5. DERIVEDObservable6. PUBLICResult Receipt6-Stage Immutable Lineage · Every Transformation Records Input/Output SHA-256 and Script HashData Lineage (Mobile)Mobile reflow schematic of 6-stage immutable data lineage.1. RAW DATAAcquisition Hash2. CALIBRATED DATATransfer Function3. QC_PASSED DATAAudit Passed4. ANALYSIS_READYFrozen Pipeline5. DERIVED DATAObservable Metrics6. PUBLIC RESULTPublic RecordLINEAGE INVARIANTS• All 6 transformation stages hashed• No unhashed raw datasets• Bit-level audited reproducibility
Figure 6.3 — Immutable Data Lineage Pipeline: Cryptographically chained data transformation pipeline ensuring bit-level reproducibility and tamper-evident provenance.

Illustrates the cryptographic hash-chained provenance of experimental data from raw detector acquisitions to calibrated, quality-controlled, and analysis-ready datasets.

Credit: Ivan Pasev / GILC Research·CC BY-NC-SA 4.0·SCHEMATIC
text
[DATA LINEAGE CONTRACT]
├── RAW DATA (D_raw) -> SHA-256 sealed immediately upon acquisition
│   ↓ (Calibration Transfer Function: Script SHA-256)
├── CALIBRATED DATA (D_cal) -> Scaled into standard SI physical units
│   ↓ (Automated Quality Control: QC Script SHA-256)
├── QC PASSED DATA (D_qc) -> Filtered for noise thresholds and baseline drift
│   ↓ (Frozen Analysis Pipeline: Analysis Script SHA-256)
├── ANALYSIS READY DATA (D_ready) -> Formatted for statistical hypothesis evaluation
│   ↓ (Statistical Comparator: Reduction Script SHA-256)
└── DERIVED PUBLIC RESULT (D_pub) -> Final observable published with complete lineage

Each transformation record logs: inputSHA256, outputSHA256, scriptSHA256, environmentHash, timestampUTC, operator, parameters, and schemaVersion.


4. Pre-Registered Prediction Seal Protocol

To protect against hindsight bias and post-hoc parameter fitting, the Science of Fabric Reality enforces strict prediction sealing:

Prospective Prediction Seal vs Calibrated RetrodictionEpistemic firewall separating sealed prospective predictions from retrospective parameter tuning.PROSPECTIVE PREDICTION SEAL (P4)Cryptographically Sealed Before Data AcquisitionCALIBRATED RETRODICTION (P2)Parameter Fitted to Existing Reference DataActive P4 Seals = 0 · Calibrated Fits (P2) Do Not Constitute Prospective Predictions (P4)Prospective Prediction Seal vs Retrodiction (Mobile)Mobile reflow schematic of prospective prediction seal vs calibrated retrodiction.1. Prospective Seal (P4)Sealed Before Acquisition2. Calibrated Fit (P2)Retrospective Calibration3. Active P4 CountActive P4 Seals = 0SEAL REQUIREMENTS• Sealed with SHA-256 before run• Explicit pre-registered tolerance• Zero degrees of freedom tuning
Figure 6.4 — Prospective Prediction Seal vs Calibrated Retrodiction: Strict epistemic firewall separating sealed prospective predictions from post-hoc calibrated retrodictions.

Contrasts prospective cryptographically sealed predictions (P4) with post-hoc calibrated retrodictions (P2), enforcing the epistemic firewall before empirical testing.

Credit: Ivan Pasev / GILC Research·CC BY-NC-SA 4.0·SCHEMATIC
  • Prospective Sealed Prediction (P4): A mathematical prediction Qpred±ΔQ sealed with cryptographic SHA-256 before the acquisition of test data.
  • Calibrated Retrodiction (P2): A model fit adjusted to match known historical or laboratory measurements.
  • Current Corpus Truth: The active sealed prospective prediction count across the entire repository is:ACTIVE_P4_SEALS=0All existing numerical parameter matches (e.g. FQFT lepton masses) are explicitly classified as P2 Calibrated Retrodictions with zero residual degrees of freedom (Ndata=3,Ntuned=3,DOF=0).

Multiscale Scientific Evidence LatticeFour-quadrant integration of formal proofs, theoretical benchmarks, metrology standards, and observable protocols.1. FORMAL PROOF INFRASTRUCTURELean 4 target pipeline & invariant engineering5 Axioms, 3 Definitions | Machine Verified: 02. THEORETICAL BENCHMARKSHylleraas He, Lewenstein SFA, CODATA-202219 Registered Authoritative Reference Anchors3. METROLOGY GOVERNANCE REFERENCESJCGM 100/101 (GUM), NIST TN 2156 standards7-fold uncertainty decomposition: U_NUM to U_REF4. EXPERIMENTAL CONTRACTSLPFR cutoff shift, FSR vacuum directional emittanceTraceability: NOT YET LOCALLY REALIZEDMultiscale Scientific Evidence Lattice (Mobile)Mobile view of evidence lattice quadrants.1. FORMAL PROOF INFRASTRUCTURELean 4 target pipeline: 5 Axioms, 3 DefinitionsMachine-Verified Theorems: 02. THEORETICAL BENCHMARKSHylleraas He, Lewenstein SFA, CODATA-202219 Registered Authoritative References3. METROLOGY GOVERNANCEJCGM 100/101 (GUM), NIST TN 2156 governance7-fold uncertainty decomposition4. EXPERIMENTAL CONTRACTSLPFR cutoff shift, FSR vacuum emittanceTraceability: NOT YET LOCALLY REALIZED
Figure 6.5 — Multiscale Scientific Evidence Lattice: Epistemic structure binding Lean 4 formalization targets, external consensus benchmarks, metrology-governance references, and experimental contract candidates.

Integrates formal Lean 4 verification targets, theoretical benchmarks, metrology-governance references, and experimental contract candidates.

Credit: Ivan Pasev / GILC Research·CC BY-NC-SA 4.0·SCHEMATIC

5. Experimental Canon Navigation & Reference Atlases

Explore the authoritative registries, reference atlases, and experimental testbeds:


SOURCE AUTHORITY & BOUNDARY LOCK

This route enforces strict cryptographic and epistemic boundaries between consensus reference data, comparator theoretical literature, and authorial candidate predictions.

ESTABLISHED BASELINE
  • NIST ASD v5.12 (2024-11-07)
    Versioned consensus spectroscopic transition data.
  • CODATA 2022 (2025)
    Fundamental physical constants authority.
COMPARATOR LITERATURE
  • Corkum 1993 / Lewenstein 1994 / L'Huillier 1993 (1993-1994)
    Strong-Field Approximation (SFA) baseline and macroscopic propagation cutoff.
  • PTB 2009/2015 / NIST 2004 (2004-2015)
    Directional spectral emissivity metrology.
METROLOGY / DATA STANDARDS
  • JCGM 100:2008 (GUM) / Amd.1:2026
    Law of propagation of uncertainty with full covariance.
  • JCGM 101:2008 (Monte Carlo)
    Nonlinear propagation of distribution functions.
  • NIST RDaF v2.0 / FAIR 2016
    Bit-level provenance and machine-actionable metadata.
AUTHORIAL EXTENSION BOUNDARY
EVIDENTIARY_GOVERNANCE_SYSTEM

Establishes formal metrological protocols and validation criteria. External consensus comparator sources define the baseline and do not constitute empirical validation of authorial field equations.